Christine O'Donnell wins Republican Nomination...Republican strategists can't be happy.

The Republican national party actively campaigned against Christine O'Donnell because they know that she will have almost no chance to win in November. NPR this morning spread a cautious tone to giddy Liberals that the Tea Party candidates that are beating Republicans in the primaries are typically even in the polls with Democrats. The problem is that they will never have higher ratings than the do right now. People want change and they keep voting for Tea Party candidates not because they are good candidates but because the represent the most change. That may fly with Conservatives but it won't hold much water with Independents. Once real debates start, the majority of these Tea Party candidates will get exposed. Remember Sarah Palin was very popular until she started talking. Once people found out what she actually stands for her approval ratings began to drop and have recently reached an all time low. Currently 55% of independents have a negative view of Palin and her support for these Tea Party candidates will have a detrimental affect in the general election. This is all information the the Republican National Party is well aware of which is why they started attack adds against O'Donnell. My guess is that any race with a Tea Party candidate that is a dead heat now will be won by the Democrat.

Another angle the media has been pushing is that Republicans have been showing up to the polls in much larger numbers. While this may be true, it doesn't mean that the same will be true for the general elections. First, there are more seats being contested on the Republican side of the isle, so more people are showing up. Second, the people who are voting Tea Party might now show up in November if their only choice is a candidate that they consider to be a RINO (Republican in name only) and conversely more moderate Republicans might just stay home rather than vote for a Palin backed Tea Party whack job.

Overall I think Democrats will lose seats and I think some Tea Party candidates in typically Republican districts will win, but I would be surprised if the slaughter some are projecting actually happens.